Gwynne Dyer
Gwynne Dyer

GWYNNE DYER has worked as a freelance journalist, columnist, broadcaster and lecturer on international affairs for more than twenty years. His twice-weekly column on international affairs is published by 175 papers in some forty-five countries and is translated into more than a dozen languages. He is the author of the bestselling IGNORANT ARMIES and FUTURE: TENSE, and is currently revising his seminal CLIMATE WARS and the new edition will be published early in 2017. Born in Canada, he lives in London.

www.gwynnedyer.com

 

WAR - Now fully updated, revised
War UK edition

'Dyer is an accomplished military historian who bolsters his extensive knowledge with a rhetorical style that is at once invisible and entirely convincing. Structurally the book accordions in and out from the psychology or individual soldiers, to the workings or whole armies, to broader historical movements and how they change (and stay the same) through time. It is a powerful effect, and one that ultimately makes this book at once a valuable historical treatise and a fervent and compelling call toward pacifism.' Publishers Weekly

A fully updated edition to be published in the UK for the first time. Noted military historian Gwynne Dyer ranges from the tumbling walls of Jericho and primitive tribal skirmishes to the modern advent of total war, showing conclusively that the basic tenets of war remain unchanged. The only real change has been technological, permitting us to make war on a mass scale.

“War is part of our history, but it is not part of our prehistory. It is one of the innovations that occurred between nine and eleven thousand years ago when the first civilised societies were coming into being. What has been invented can be changed; war is not in our genes.”

Dyer squarely confronts the reality of war, but does not despair that war is our eternal legacy, believing that ultimately it can be abolished. WAR is an award-winning book, widely regarded as one of the most compelling analyses of the history of armed conflict, which explores the human past to imagine a different future.

THE ORIGINAL CANADIAN TV SERIES WAS BROADCAST IN 45 COUNTRIES AND NOMINATED FOR AN ACADEMY AWARD.

‘Brilliant... An inspiringly rational book, written with dry wit and a resigned wisdom: to the brutal follies of mankind. This is a rare history of war; it rekindles hope, too.’ Newark Star Ledger

‘Provocative, agile and very well argued, with an a-ha! moment on nearly every page.’ Kirkus Reviews

His book is no simple narrative but a web of connections. The text ranges over the terrain of history, sparkling with insight and digressions… As an interpretive history of war, War is brilliant.’ The Seattle Times

‘Gwynne Dyer is one of Canada’s best known defence and foreign policy analysts.’ National Post

‘A highly readable history of human warfare.’ Times Colonist (Victoria)

‘Dyer’s clear language and convincing case-building tow the reader along… I envy Dyer for his optimism.  And I envy the generation he envisions who claims victory in its war on war.’ Books in Canada

Sales

Random House/Vintage Canada

Periscope UK

Arab Scientific Press World Arabic

Tekin Turkey

Previous edition published by:

Belacqua Ediciones S.L Spain (reverted)

Kragozor Bulgaria (reverted)

Borgen Forlag Denmark (reverted)

Jiangsu People's Publishing House China (reverted)

Material: finished copies (480pp)

CLIMATE WARS
Climate Wars cover

From one of the world’s great geopolitical analysts, here is a terrifying glimpse of the none-too-distant future, when climate change will force the world’s powers into a desperate struggle for advantage and even survival. Dwindling resources. Massive population shifts. Natural disasters. Spreading epidemics. Drought. Rising sea-levels. Plummeting agricultural yields. Crashing economies. Political extremism. These are some of the expected consequences of runaway climate change in the decades ahead, and any of them could tip the world towards conflict. Prescient, unflinching, and based on exhaustive research and interviews.

‘The multitude of sources and the political perspective on global warming make the book scarier and more convincing than the usual predictions limited to climate and weather. We can hope that Dyer’s sources are impressive enough to convince policy makers to take serious action.’ Publishers Weekly

‘Terrifying.’ Bookseller

'Dyer makes the final, and important leap from merely discussing forthcoming climate change to predicting the political and economic results of a warmed Earth. The result of this move from weather forecasting to a holistic view of the future is terrifying... Frightening yet essential reading.' Library Journal

'Compelling... A warning of what could happen if we don't all pull our fingers out.' Big Issue

'In Climate Wars, Gwynne Dyer, a geopolitics analyst and military expert, considers the socio-economic consequences of this twin premise. Drawing on IPCC projections and government studies in the US, UK and elsewhere, he is led to a grim forecast: a world with widespread drought, famine and migration, teetering on global conflict. Dyer casts a critical eye over previous international agreements to slow global warming, and his analyses of the Kyoto Protocol (1997) and the Copenhagen Accord (2009) leave little room for optimism. He lays bare the basic problem, that developing nations such as India and China will not agree to curb their fossil fuel emissions to the same degree as fully industrialised nations. And the latter may not be able to persuade voters to accept the deep cuts required. A further difficulty may be the breaking of existing agreements as the effects of cuts impinge on national economies. Hopefully, his lucidly written book may help raise awareness of the potential crisis. As he points out “the cost of doing too little, too late . . . is vastly greater than any costs incurred by doing more than might have been strictly necessary”. ' Irish Times

'Like a Stephen King novel, it's scary, but you can't put it down.' G Magazine

'Gwynne Dyer's brilliant analysis, in Climate Wars, of the geopolitical conflicts that may unfold over the next few decades - even if we do get serious about global warming - is almost too fearsome to absorb. When I talk to the scientists themselves, there is a palpable sense of panic, something confirmed by Dyer in his interviews conducted around the world.' The Monthly

'Gwynne Dyer is one of the few who are both courageous enough to tell the unvarnished truth, and have the background to understand, not misrepresent the inputs. This book does a superb job of detailing the emerging realities of Climate/Energy. These realities are not pretty.'
Dennis Bushnell, Chief Scientist, NASA

'This is a truly important and timely book. No one, not even the IPCC, really knows what the world climate will be ten years from now, but we and our governments have to make intelligent guesses. Gwynne Dyer has made the best and most plausible set of guesses I have yet seen about the human consequences of climate change, of how drought and heat may ignite wars, even nuclear wars, around the globe.' James Lovelock, British geophysicist, author of The Revenge of Gaia

'The current debate on climate change is mostly on its future effects, but few are brave enough to work out what they might be. Here is a lively, alarming and even entertaining attempt to look ahead. Water and war have always been associated. We need hope as well as good sense in looking at the future. Here it is.' Sir Crispin Tickell, Director of the Policy Foresight Programme, James Martin 21st Century School, University of Oxford

'Anyone still complacent about climate change will find Climate Wars instructive and disturbing. These articulate insights into climate geopolitics by military historian Gwynne Dyer are an important tool for understanding why the climate challenge is big, hard, and vital to human survival - yet soluble if we pay attention now.' Amory B. Lovins, Chairman & Chief Scientist, Rocky Mountain Institute

'Dyer writes in a direct and personal style... an engaging read.' Jeffrey Mazo, Survival Journal

'A reasonable but not rosy view of a subject of a subject that too often produces hysteria.' Kirkus

'When a climate scientist forecasts that global warming will trigger mega-famines, floods of refugees and geopolitical meltdown, we may fear that they have a myopic world view. When a security specialist says the same thing, we should start to wonder. Gwynne Dyer has been a lecturer on international affairs for two decades. In Climate Wars he eloquently explores the "grim detail" of how governments will grapple with a challenge unprecedented since before there were governments… As an insight into what the military strategists imagine is going to happen as a result of climate change, this book is truly terrifying.' New Scientist

'Bold, unflinching, and based on exhaustive research and interviews with international experts, Climate Wars grippingly reveals how world leaders are likely to react, and promises to be one of the most important books of the year.' Edinburgh Science Festival

'Speculative as Dyer's little “history of the future” is, it has an unmistakable – and alarming – ring of truth. Scientists have generally confined themselves to such impersonal data as mean temperatures, sea-levels and – at the most emotive – polar bears. Dyer, though, says these changes really will be global, and they're bound to be massively destabilising, precipitating agrarian crises and epidemics mass-migrations and large-scale conflict over land, water and food resources.' Living Scotsman

‘In his seriously worrying study of the near future, Gwynne Dyer adopts a rarely considered perspective on climate change.’ Geographical Magazine

Sales

Random House Canada

Scribe ANZ

Oneworld UK & US

Laffont France

Klett Cotta Germany

Citic Press China (simplified)

Shinchosha Japan

AST Russia

Wealth Press Taiwan (complex)

Hermes Publishing Bulgaria

Gimmyoung Korea

Uitgeverij Het Spectrum NL

Marco Tropea Italy

Jarrous Press Lebanon

Paloma Turkey

Librooks Spain & Latin America

Material: Canadian, Australian & UK editions (256/320pp)

DON'T PANIC: ISIS, terror AND Today's MIDDLE EAST
Don't Panic UK cover

In his trademark style, cutting through the hype and the sensationalism, Gwynne gives us the situation as it really is, how it came about and what we can expect in the near future. Rule one in the old anti-terrorism doctrine was DON'T OVERREACT, and it still applies. That means no ground offensives against ISIS (for which the troops are not available anyway), and preferably not even any bombing by foreign forces. Instead, it means waiting for events to take their course within the 'Islamic State'. Regimes as radical and violent as ISIS rarely survive for long. This revolution will eat its children, as so many have before, and it will happen a lot more quickly if they don’t have a huge foreign military threat to hold them together. Foreign interventions ALWAYS make matters worse. Which is why terrorists love them so much. The only book you will need to read on this subject.

'According to Dyer, ISIS aims to recreate the Sunni Caliphate and bring about the end-of-days, but with Al Qaeda and ISIS as rivals and historical infighting, the chances of either of them overrunning the Middle East and the rest of the world aren't high. If the West plays it smart, there's no need to panic, he says. His writing is straightforward, concise and avoids sensationalism. For anyone interested in how ISIS seemingly sprang up from nowhere, Dyer provides an excellent analysis of its origins.' 
Publishers Weekly

'A highly readable crash course on the history of political Islam, or Islamism, of the past few decades, and how such a history, punctuated by the tragedy of 9/11, relates to Muslim terrorism (jihadism) and the mess that is today’s Middle East... a necessary antidote to the disastrous consequences of forgetting.' Literary Review of Canada

'Mr. Dyer says out loud things many of us aren’t ready to say… It’s so much simpler to know nothing, remain afraid, and blame ‘Muslims’. But luckily for us, some truth-tellers won’t remain silent.' Globe and Mail

Sales

Random House USA & Canada (North American rights)

Periscope UK

Librooks Spain & Latin America

Arab Scientific Press World Arabic

Tekin Turkey

Material: Finished copies (256pp).

AFTER IRAQ: Anarchy & Renewal in the Middle East
After Iraq

Published in Canada and Australia as THE MESS THEY MADE: THE MIDDLE EAST AFTER IRAQ

‘For chapter two alone, Dyer’s book is worth the money. There is much more – on relations between the United States and Iran, on the Shia populations in other Arab countries, and on Israel’s dilemma as it no longer monopolises US interests in the Middle East. Dyer writes with easy fluency, with gentle, teasing wit, and with an intelligent balance between the populist and academic that makes his argument all the more persuasive.’ Irish Times

‘Gwynne Dyer's After Iraq goes beyond the immediate circumstances, assumes that the American occupation will not last, and then asks what is the future for the Middle East. His answer, in essence, is that the region is best left to itself and any belief that Western states can determine its future is doomed to failure. Even the Islamist radicalisation may not survive – while much of it may be a reaction to the rule of local elites, the movement has been aided by external interference. Dyer is most pessimistic in his assessment of Israel's precarious position, doubting whether current US support will persist. He is also dubious about the military significance of the region's oil reserves, arguing that whoever rules the countries of the Persian Gulf will still have to sell their oil. Both views are open to question – the Israel lobby has got a considerable boost from the growing influence of Christian Zionism in the US, and there is a 35-year history of US military interest in Gulf oil. Even so, Dyer writes with a racy style and provokes as much as he informs. He leaves one amazed at the sheer incompetence of the American and British governments of recent years.' The Independent

‘The message this world-renowned political observer offers is frightening.  While everyone is aware of the insurgency the US invasion of Iraq provoked, most have not seen a whole lot of analysis about how the political landscape will change – after the fact.  For Dyer’s money, change it will throughout the whole Middle East “and we may not like it when it does”.  It will also, the popular journalist-broadcaster warns, shake all major players to the core.  If you read no other analysis, read Dyer’s.’ Ottawa Citizen

'Most commentators on the war in Iraq (from both sides of the conflict) fail to put the events in a historical context, and those that do tend to offer a skewed (self-serving) version of that history. Dyer goes one better. Not only does he place current events in a balanced and historical context, he also examines their significance in terms of the future … Another reason why Dyer's books are worth reading is because they offer a clear and simple analysis of events, but without being reductive.' Courier Mail, Australia

'The principal attraction of Dyer’s geopolitical punditry has always been its trenchant tone and clear-eyed, non-partisan approach.  Though he is firmly on the side of those who believe that big countries should stop doing terrible things to small ones… Dyer tends to take the long view of regional conflicts... tough-love analyses such as Dyer’s are so necessary.' Nathan Whitlock Toronto Star (Canada)

'Dyer knows how to highlight the absurdities of dumb or hypocritical policies.' Globe & Mail Ontario (Canada)

'Dyer will open even well-informed readers’ eyes as he looks ahead to what will happen once American troops dust the soil of Iraq from their boots.' Hill Times Ottawa (Canada)

'Dyer’s book is important because it’s one of the few books on the topic I’ve read (and I’ve read a lot) to really make the effort to place the current conflicts in their long term historical perspective, and to speculate on a future beyond the immediate political and strategic context.' Larvatus Prodeo (Australian socio-political discussion/blog)

'Dyer’s intelligent insight and historical perspective offer a valuable contribution for those seeking to understand the complex Middle East. Sun Herald (Australia)

'AFTER IRAQ BY GWYNNE DYER (Yale, £16.99) After Iraq, it's pretty much the deluge, as far as the Middle East is concerned – and US hegemony, if this book is to be believed. And it's hardly short on credibility: this is no diatribe but a calm and masterful analysis, albeit one with a certain journalistic style and polemical edge. Some familiar ground is covered: no matter, the sheer unmitigated folly of the Iraqi escapade has seldom been spelled out quite so clearly or as damningly as it is here. The book looks forward too, unpacking the issues at stake in Iran and in the Gulf, and what the coming years could have in store for Israel.' Scotsman

'Dyer’s analysis of the Middle East crisis is both cogent and compelling.  He discusses how Britain and the US have become embroiled in an unwinnable situation in Iraq, and looks ahead to what is likely to happen when Western troops pull out.  What follows is conjecture, but it is well argued and Dyer offers precedents to support what he says.  If he is right, we must prepare for a climactic shift of power and an upheaval that makes the present troubles seem almost trivial.  Dyer writes in a lucid, conversational way that adds an awful credibility to his forecasts.' Good Book Guide

Sales

McClelland & Stewart Canada

Scribe Australia

Thomas Dunne (SMP) USA

Yale University Press UK

Arab Scientific Publishers Lebanon

Campus Verlag Germany

Material: finished copies of UK and US editions (267pp).

crawling from the wreckage
Crawling From the Wreckage Cover
Nobody will admit it, but the world is getting better. At least compared to five years ago. Mortal threats abound (as they always do), but Bush is gone, the terrorists are only background noise, people and governments are starting to take climate change seriously, and the Great Recession wasn't as bad as advertised. Gwynne Dyer traces his five-year transition from despair to faint hope through his newspaper columns, reworked into a coherent whole.

Sales

Random House Canada

Material: finished copies (359pp).

Canada in the great power game: 1914 -2014
Canada in the Great Power Game: 1914-2014

NATIONAL BESTSELLER (#2 The Globe and Mail; #3 Maclean's; #3 Toronto Star)

An Embassy "Most Notable Canadian Foreign Policy" Book 2014

A 49th Shelf Most Anticipated Non-Fiction Pick August 2014

Featured in the Quill and Quire Fall Preview 2014

Canada in the Great Power Game 1914-2014 is a serious contemplation of what it means to engage in major world conflicts, and the price we pay when we do.

The First World War was Canada's baptism of fire, or at least the only one that people now remember. (Montrealers in 1776 or Torontonians in 1814 would have taken a different view.) From 1914 to 1918, after a century of peace, Canadians were plunged back into the old world of great power rivalries and great wars. So was everybody else, but Canadians were volunteers. We didn't have to fight, but we chose to, out of loyalty to ideas and institutions that today many of us no longer believe in. And we have been doing the same thing ever since, although we haven't quite given up on the latest set of ideas and institutions yet.

In Canada in the Great Power Game, Gwynne Dyer moves back and forth between the seminal event, the First World War, and all the later conflicts that Canada chose to fight in. He draws parallels between these conflicts, with the same idealism among the young soldiers, and the same deeply conflicted emotions among the survivors, surfacing time and again in every war right down to Afghanistan. And in each case, the same arguments pro and con arise--mostly from people who are a long, safe way from the killing grounds--for every one of those "wars of choice."

Echoing throughout the book are the voices of the people who lived through the wars: the veterans, the politicians, the historians, the eyewitnesses. And Dyer takes a number of so-called excursions from his historical account, in which he revisits the events and puts them in context, pausing to ask such questions as "What if we hadn't fought Hitler?" and "Is war written in our genes?" This entertaining and provocative book casts an unsparing eye over what happens when Canada and the great powers get in the war business, illuminating much about how we see ourselves on the world stage.

Sales

Penguin Random House Canada

Foreign Language Teaching and Research Publishing Co. China

Material: Finished hardback copies